Steve Harris
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Modern Empires

6/26/2026

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Next month, I’m starting a six-part course on Modern Empires. The intro music for the kick-off is the 1980s pop classic by Tears for Fears: “Everybody Wants to Rule the World.” This sets up my theme that empires are all about power; specifically, the projection of power by one people or society over another. Empires have been happening for thousands of years; modern empires (i.e., since the 15C) have been characterized by the distinctive technological sources of their power, the noticeably increased differential in their power vis-à-vis the people they control, and a broad shift to non-coercive/soft power, particularly economic. Oh, yes, most modern empires have been European/Western in origin, especially after 1800.

Empires are typically characterized by the enrichment of the elites (aristocratic, military, religious, commercial) of the metropole (home base) of the empire at the expense of the ordinary folks in the periphery (all the areas under control). This might come through simpler plunder, formal tributary payments, seizing land and natural resources and people, up to more sophisticated modes such as setting the terms of trade so that peripheral commodities are priced much lower than processed manufactured products from the metropole or charging monopolistic prices for shipping.

Prior to the 19C, most empires operated through direct “plant-the-flag-and-claim-the-territory” control, or what historians call “formal” empire.” The expansion of the commercial sector in modern times has meant that even after most of the formal empires were dissolved in the mid 20C, societies still exercise their power over other societies thru “informal” means, including finance/foreign investments and shipping. The Brits were really good at this in their heyday. Since the 19C, the US has excelled, as evidenced by the fact that the top global brands remain predominantly American even now (e.g., Coke, Apple, Google, Boeing). Similarly for media and cultural content (music, movies), not to mention the most powerful cultural export of all: the English language. This phenomenon highlights that imperial power can work “softly” and, often, unconsciously.

One session of the series will be devoted to the United States as an empire. It’s a label we have, as a country, had a lot of difficulty with. After all, we got started by rejecting the imperial claims of the British and have seen ourselves as the beacon of freedom for all peoples since then. We leaned on the Europeans to wind up their empires in the 20C and forced the Soviet Empire to collapse late in the last century. This stance, however, belies what can only be called a rich and consistent imperial past. We can start with our land grab from Native Americans, which was one of our principal national preoccupations from our initial colonialization efforts into the 20C. Along the way, the Monroe Doctrine claimed a sphere of influence across the Western Hemisphere, then we had our burst of formal empire at the end of the 19C, grabbing Cuba, the Philippines, and assorted other islands from the fading Spanish empire, along with Hawaii. American power reached its global stretch in the 20C, including a wide range of economic and cultural activities, as noted above, managing a series of military alliances during the Cold War (we still have hundreds of military bases), and overseeing a set of multi-national institutions (e.g., the World Bank). We’ve invaded more countries since WWII than any other. All in all, it’s a pretty striking record.

Modern imperialists get a pretty bad rap from most historians. Yes, there were benefits in terms of health, education, and other aspects of “civilization.” But much of those “blessings” were in terms of the conquerors’ values (e.g., Christianity, capitalism), that might not have been shared by the indigenous cultures onto which they were grafted.  Moreover, they came as part of a package that included all manner of brutality and exploitation. Our (Western) claims to have helped these benighted peoples to make progress run into the famous quote from Gandhi who, when asked what he thought of Western Civilization, replied that “It would be a good thing” (at least hypothetically, compared to what the British and the others did to India, Africa, etc.).

On the other hand, the longer-term history of imperialism shows that modern European empires were not inherently any worse in moral terms than those of their predecessors. Millions were killed and stolen from by the Huns, various Chinese imperial configurations, Aztecs, Egyptians, Turks, Akkadians, and dozens of other earlier models. We tend to downplay their bad acts, losing them in the mists of ancient history. However, just because they were further away and accomplished with less technology doesn’t make them any better than Belgians of the 19/20C, the Spanish of the 17C, or the Brits at multiple times.

With the great wave of decolonization of the mid-20C, it seemed that the era of formal empires was coming to a close, especially after the fall of the Soviet empire 30-40 years ago. A variety of informal imperial projects (principally ours) have continued, but the idea of formal conquest and control seems to have lapsed. One of the interesting issues in our current geopolitical environment is whether the actions of Putin and Trump will revive the old model. HWSNBN has his “Don-Roe” Doctrine, justifying decapitating the leadership of Venezuela and Cuba, starting a war with Iran, and making a grab from Greenland. Putin seems to have a vision of reviving at least parts of the Russian empire, but has come up short in Ukraine.

Instead, the only country with the global power to re-establish imperial grandeur is China and they are doing a pretty good job at building an informal empire, at least in Asia, Africa, and South America. Whether their vision of conquest extends beyond Taiwan remains doubtful, however. Even a “successful” take-over of Taiwan would likely highlight the futile nature of imperial conquest, since it’s not clear how useful and productive that island would be in the aftermath of invasion. Modern military power is tremendously effective at destruction, but at a great cost which doesn’t clearly outweigh the projecting power’s potential benefit.

The idea of empire doesn’t seem to fit well into the 21C’s interdependent world where international relationships are far more complex than in past centuries and the idea of territorial control less relevant than the informal power of commerce and information. Ah, well, it’s been a grand run and thus a great topic for history.

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The Ethics of Tactics

6/19/2026

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The Ethics of Tactics

Were there racists among the leading women suffragettes of the 19C and early 20C? Were there some leaders of the 19C abolitionist movement and the black civil rights movement of the mid-20C who were misogynistic? Well, yes and yes. Would either movement have been as successful as they were without the contributions of those non-saints? Probably not. 

Politics is messy. Who are we to judge the folks that championed expanded rights for some marginalized/discriminated groups who simultaneously opposed such rights for other groups? I constantly caution against making ethical judgments about people’s behavior in the past, but the kinds of historical tensions that challenged their morality echo today and a similar wariness is called for.

At the same time, we can wonder, both historically and currently, whether as a tactical matter, a “big tent” approach to protecting/expanding rights would be more effective. Indeed, I recall thinking back in the 1970s that the women’s movement (and the civil rights movement) missed an opportunity by not joining forces.  Revitalizing and restating the Civil War Amendments to encompass not only race, but also sex and gender would have protected the Congressional statutory efforts and state enactments already then on the books and obviated the efforts to reverse them either in Congress or the Courts that have garnered recent attention. But, I suspect the leaders of each movement couldn’t reconceptualize their projects or risk opening their power structures to “outsiders.”

Instead, the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution was passed by Congress, in both cases by 10-1 ratios (and endorsed by Pres. Nixon!) in 1972, 30 states quickly ratified, but the effort petered out in the late 1970s. The result was that the protection of women’s rights was left to the Supreme Court; an avenue that, as we have seen in recent years, was all to subject to summary reversal. Similarly, we have seen key aspects of the Civil Rights legislative program of the 1960s and 1970s effectively neutered by the Court.

But this posting is not about the wisdom or propriety of these recent Supreme Court decisions. Nor is it about the implications of the overly difficult constitutional amendment process. Rather, my point is a political one. This is reflected in the old adages: “Politics is the art of the possible,” and “half a loaf is better than none.”  It can be difficult to risk diluting the focused effort to make progress towards any policy goal by including a broader agenda; and sometimes tactical considerations push moral values to the side. but that is the task of enlightened leadership—whether by advocates or elected officials.

This is not just a matter of historical reassessment. We might (we might need to!) look forward to an era in which such policies are once again feasible, if not in the framework of constitutional change, at least in statutory terms. It might, however, be a greater stretch to imagine a more mature politics among those with progressive views that could make advance the cause of civil rights (in both racial and sex and gender terms) without pushing the envelope; thereby increasing the possibility of actual progress. 

The same questions arise in the context of a host of other policy fronts: climate, health care, infrastructure, AI, housing, and Social Security, to name a few. Political parties are about coalition-building. The Dems are famously a “big-tent” party. That particular tent is looking pretty creaky these days, so part of the path to power will mean constructing a new tent. That’s mostly the job of emerging leaders—Shapiro, Ossof, Pritzker, Bernie (Wait, that’s four Jewish guys!), Jeffries, AOC, Warnock, Newsom, and others. But as importantly, it’s the job of the ordinary folks who will populate the tent. 

It remains to be seen whether they (we?) can put aside the moralizing, judgmentalism, and outrage over the incumbent administration and give up 20% of whatever perfectionism we might use to define a successful policy for our particular goals in order to restore some basic sanity and dignity to the country, as well as stop the bleeding on virtually every policy sector, and make a modicum of progress in those areas.

The alternatives are either 1) a Vance/Rubio variant of what we have now or 2) a Democratic administration with (hopefully) a generally supportive Congress but one which is hamstrung by the kind of punitive politics disguised as ideological purity that is practiced by the Congressional Republicans, particularly in the House. 

The essential point is the compromise is not a moral failing, whether of the sanctimonious sort seen by the “Freedom Caucus” or in the more insidious, well-rationalized variety seen by Civil Rights and Women’s Rights advocates in the 19 and 20C. This compromising will need to occur in the context of prioritization and of policy trade-offs. Judgementalism is the enemy of at least incremental progress. There is so much work to be done on so many fronts, it would be a pity to waste time on details and squabbling.

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The Luxury of Details; the Price of Anger

6/12/2026

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I know plenty of folks who are appalled by what we see happening to our country (and the world) these days. There’s plenty of reason to be scared and angry, but for most people I know (fortunately) the risks and problems arise at the level of principle and at some distance from our day-to-day lives. For those who wish to change the nature and tone of our government now is the time for cool consideration of our options and to do so in three contexts: 1) the 2026 elections, 2) the posture of those elected this year, and 3) the stance of those who wish for further change in 2028.

Ethics are important, but we’re usually not given the choice between simple black and white. Life, as they say, is filled with trade-offs. My general approach is to maintain my ethical and political views in favor of social justice and compassion, domestic and international order, and assessing policies with a due respect for a long-term perspective. At the same time, the current situation is so dire as to demand that we ensure our social and political foundations before we try to (in order) repair the damage or enact policies that try to broadly improve society. 

I have long bemoaned the state of the Democratic Party and I have no illusions about the likelihood that it will be a useful vehicle for necessary social change. Still, we might hope that the ongoing example of the Republicans will impress on both voters and elected officials the need to swallow our grand visions and just get stuff done. The first step is to minimize further inroads by MAGA-ites and get sensible people (even moderates or other boring folks) into positions to minimize further damage. 

The current California Governor’s race is a great example. As we went into the primary a few weeks ago, there were three Democrats and two Republicans with a significant chance of getting through the open primary and into the final election in November. Both the Republicans illustrate the range of MAGA/Republicans but the prospect that they would both have gotten into the run-off, shutting out the Dems, seemed real. As among the leading Dems—Becerra, Porter, and Steyer—there are notable differences in personality, experience, and demeanor, as well as policy priorities. Nonetheless, any one of them is so far superior to Hilton or Bianco, that I really didn’t care which Dem gets elected. Indeed, I wish the primary ballot had an option that read: “Whichever Democrat comes first among those who vote for one of them.” I suspect such a ballot entry would swamp the tally for any of the named individuals. 

Here in San Francisco, we will elect a successor to Nancy Pelosi. I quite liked Chakrabarti as an innovative policy thinker. Scott Weiner and Connie Chan (the eventual finalists for the November election) are both also thoughtful and they are likely to vote the same on a vast majority of actual legislative proposals. Again, it’s too bad time and money will have been spent between those two (and a few others). Flip a coin and let’s move on.

What then of those who win this fall? In Congress, where the Dems are a good shot to win back the House and have a slight chance to win the Senate, it will be a time of great temptation. Performative politics beckons and many will fall into the trap, wasting time, money, and energy better spent on a small number of priorities. There will be innumerable calls for investigations into the malfeasance and incompetence of the current Administration. There will be hundreds of bills introduced to right the current litany of wrongs, trying to constrain or reverse the Executive or Judiciary. Almost all of this will be a waste of time.

Dems need to demonstrate that they are thoughtful and prudent guardians of the interests of the entire nation. Even if bills get passed by the House (or, in some minor miracle both the House and Senate), there is no chance anything of substantive merit would become law with our current orange-haired leader. So, all this performative energy needs to be targeted at a focused set of policies that will engender support at the 2028 election: health care, jobs, economic growth, voting rights, taxes on the top 10%. The parade of those demanding a wide range of changes that have only a bare majority of support—however much they might meet important political or moral goals—need to be held in abeyance. In addition, the Dems need to show that they can govern responsibly and effectively. That means actually passing bills without the dramatics, futility, and waste that has exemplified current GOP legislators (especially in the House).

Finally, in the two years between elections, those folks who want change need to model responsible citizenship and demonstrate that we have a clear understanding of the difference between idealized policy goals and the views of the bulk of the country. This means that valid arguments and goals will need to be sidelined. Taking pot-shots at elected officials who are less than perfect (measured on whatever scale) is self-destructive. If the damage wrought in the past 16 months (that’s right, we’re only 1/3 through the 2d term of HWSNBN) has taught us anything, it is that most of the fine print in policies isn’t so important.  

If we are lucky, a leader with charisma and vision will emerge for 2028. More likely, it will be someone with only a bit of both. No matter. We will be fortunate to arrive in January 2029 with some semblance of a country and a world still intact. As I noted this past winter (A Poisoned Chalice 020626), even then, we shouldn’t expect too much. The road back is far too long to be walked in anger.

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English Lessons

6/5/2026

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The apparently imminent meltdown of the Labour Government in the UK is a fitting marker for the tenth anniversary of Brexit: that “world-historical” mistake of 2016 in which a bare majority of the British electorate convulsed and apparently directed their government to leave the European Union. After years of high political drama, the Conservative Government under Boris Johnson, finally “Got Brexit done.” The Tories then stumbled on in government for another couple of years (due at least as much to an unsavory sharply left-wing domination of the Labour Party) until both the party and the public were exhausted.

Labour, under the deliberately bland Sir Keir Starmer, then positioned itself as a sufficiently centrist “non-Tory” option and swept into office int he General Election of 2024. The rejection of the incumbents after 14 years and 5 prime ministers was no surprise. Their internal divisions over Brexit continued to haunt them and they were stale in terms of both policies and personalities. It was clearly time for a change. Since the British electoral system (like ours) does not provide for proportional representation, small shifts in support can make for big shifts in the number of seats. In 2024, the Tories faced the additional problem of a resurgent right/populist party under Nigel Farage, the bête-noire of the Brexit movement which bled of some of its support in close contests. As a result, Labour won its largest victory ever, securing 424 seats out of 650.

Starmer should have been on top of the world: an apparent mandate for change and a huge parliamentary majority. There were three problems, however. First, actual mandates to do anything in particular amid the broad array of issues and interests which voters face are exceedingly rare (despite the common proclamations of victorious politicians). Second, Starmer while undoubtedly a capable lawyer and administrator, lacks both popular charisma and the internal party ‘oomph’ to marshal his troops. Third, as Boris Johnson said back in 2013, the problem with all the Brexit ‘hoo-hah’ is that it was a distraction from the deep and long-term problems which Britain faces: inadequate adaptation to a post-industrial economy, post-imperial hangover, economic inequality, dysfunctional labor markets, creaking educational system, and wheezing social services; to name a few. Stated otherwise, the country faces nigh-unto-intractable problems which require bold/radical solutions for which there is no national consensus and no charismatic leadership.

Britain thus faces a situation not all that different from most other well-off countries. It’s not that they are “ungovernable” in the sense that “The Economist” and other commentators usually mean. These are not matters which can be fixed by repairing the (real and significant problems of a particular political system (e.g., Britain’s first past the post parliamentary system, the division of powers between France’s Executive and Legislative branches, or the abuses inflicted on the US political system by the two-party duopoly). It’s “ungovernable” in the sense that there are fundamental problems facing society and the electorate as a whole is unwilling (unable?!) to address them.

In contrast, in the dire situation faced by Britain in 1940-41, the country rallied around Churchill’s leadership and demonstrated an extraordinary national willingness to (literally) go to war to address it. Alas Starmer is no Churchill (nor, for that matter is any other national politician on the British stage). Perhaps it is only in the clearest and direst of circumstances that there is a mandate for decisive action. Despite the urgings and table-poundings of the AOC/Bernie wing (or, for that matter, the MAGA-ized Republicans); there is no consensus and therefore no mandate in the US to address our version of this problem set. (It is also useful to recall in this circumstance, that FDR had no mandate for his active support of Churchill/the “Allies” as he slid the US to a pre-war footing until Pearl Harbor.)

The second lesson from the British situation is more directly aimed at the US Democratize Party.  Neither having the “right answers” to the nations policy questions, nor having a working legislative majority are sufficient, even both together would not be enough. 

The Dems, in their wildest dreams, will not command legislative majorities comparable to what Labour now has. With what they’re like to have, the temptation to muddle and temporize remains great. The threat of fringe elements invoking ritual purity to halt incremental progress on any number of policy fronts is also great. Imagine what the current administration could accomplish if they had the Freedom Caucus fully on board. It might be scary, but it’s certainly imaginable. Now try to imagine the Dems getting their collective act together to remedy the policy crimes and abuses of the current administration and to actually address and at least make a dent in some of the other pressing problems facing the country. It’s a utopian fantasy.

As I noted in “A Poisoned Chalice” (020626), the Dems risk looking like failures, even if they sweep the boards in 2028. Even if they had a leader, a program, and an unheard-of degree of party discipline, they would still have to spend so much time cleaning up after the current disaster and the impacts of the kinds new policies initiatives would be too long-term in their effects to do them much short-to-medium electoral good.

So the underlying problem lies with “the people,” not the party (or even the parties). The “ungovernability” issue current bedeviling the English chattering classes is transatlantic; indeed, it is global. It is societal, not governmental or even constitutional. 

Neither elites nor the “masses” have a clear and coherent policy program. MAGA only works if you believe in historical fiction and have an extremely short-sighted view (and no sense of social justice). Socialism has been sufficiently successful through the 20C (even in the US) so as to be stale for the 21C. New formulations are needed—across the political spectrum. The clock is ticking.


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    Condemned to Repeat It --
    Musings on history, society, and the world.

    I don't actually agree with Santayana's famous quote, but this is my contribution to my version of it: "Anyone who hears Santayana's quote is condemned to repeat it."

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